Showing posts with label Central europe. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Central europe. Show all posts

Wages and buying power:gap between Austria and Slovakia/Czech/Poland shrinking

Until recently, Austria's neighbours in Central Europe were ahead by a nose with investors, especially because of the cheap wages paid in the East. However, that situation is changing rapidly. The wage and buying power gap between Eastern and Western Europe is getting smaller. This will have an effect on the competition for locations in Europe in the future.
This is the conclusion reached by a new study conducted by the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies on behalf of the consulting company TPA Horwath. The study looked primarily at unit labour costs and buying power in ten countries in Central and Eastern Europe: in other words, what the state collects in each case, take-home pay for individual workers, and what you can actually buy for that amount in various neighbouring countries.

In the case of unit labour costs, the differences are still huge. Unit labour costs in Eastern Europe are below those in Austria. People also earn significantly less, although their wages are increasing, and the amount they have left over varies.

insurance company
bank

Well paid jobs at banks and insurance companies
In Austria, in 2010 average labour costs were EUR 3,966 a month. This put Austria streets ahead of Central and Eastern European countries included in the analysis. Slovenia, a model country in economic terms, has on average 44 per cent of Austrian labour costs. The earnings level in Austria here is 54 per cent higher than for the economy as a whole. Similar industry-specific differences can also be seen in Slovenia and Croatia. The earnings gap is considerably larger in all the other Eastern European countries studied: as much as 80 per cent in Poland and 143 per cent in Romania.
Net earnings: much smaller gap
However, a very different picture emerges in a comparison of average net earnings (gross wages after deduction of taxes and social security contributions) and real buying power – in other words, what people can buy with their incomes. Here it becomes apparent that the gap between Austria and the Eastern European countries is much smaller. For example, in 2010 the ratio of net earnings to so-called purchasing power parity in Slovenia was 63 per cent of the Austrian level (of EUR 1,800), followed by Croatia (59%) and the Czech Republic (58%). The level of net earnings was somewhat lower in Poland (53%), Slovakia (49%) and Hungary (42%).


wages

Convergence of wages
The analysts extrapolated current trends from these varying costs and deductions: unit labour costs are rising steadily in Eastern Europe. In fact, despite everything, in almost all the countries studied this is happening at a faster rate than in Austria. As a result, wages are slowly converging on those in Austria. At present, average labour costs are 44 per cent of the Austrian level. Growing competitiveness is driving this primarily because Central European countries are increasingly using modern “western” technologies. Furthermore, Central European countries are gradually developing a strong industry that is far more productive than small businesses.
Receptive to investors
Finally, despite relatively high tax and contribution ratios, the institute’s experts found a striking receptiveness to investors in Central and Eastern European countries. For example, at the height of the prolonged global economic crisis, taxation policy raised value added tax rates rather than taxes on work.


garbage collection
gardener


There are still very significant differences in the case of direct taxes (such as income and corporation tax), the experts at TPA Horwath in Vienna concluded. In Austria, in 2009 direct taxes accounted for around 30 per cent of total taxes, which was however still below the average for the EU 27. Hungary was next, fairly well below Austria with a rate of 25 per cent of direct taxes in total earnings, then Romania, Poland and the Czech Republic between 24 and 21 per cent. Direct taxes played the smallest role in Slovakia (around 19 per cent). Trend: during the crisis, Eastern European countries tended to increase value added tax, while lowering income and corporate tax. This was a definite advantage for investors.

Angela Merkel, Germnay's chancellor is coming to Bratislava

Iveta Radicova, Prime Minister of Slovakia meets Angela Merkel in Bratislava, Slovak Republic

BRATISLAVA, Slovakia - German Chancellor Angela Merkel is travelling to the Slovak capital to meet her counterparts from Central and Eastern Europe in talks expected to focus on energy security and regional co-operation.

The future of the eurozone and other EU-related issues are also high on the agenda of the annual meeting of prime ministers of Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland whose countries form an informal grouping known as the V4.

Merkel, together with Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann and Ukraine's Prime Minister Mykola Azarov are scheduled to join Tuesday's meeting that marks the 20th anniversary of the group.

Update on Slovakia economic acceleration

Slovakia’s economy should grow + 1.5 % this year, and +3.5 % in 2011, according tot he expectations of Saxo Bank (Denmark). The Slovak economy will be driven by its close link with the German economy (foreign demand for Slovakia comes mainly from Germany and from other countries of the eurozone such as Austria).

The bank expects that unemployment will stabilize in Slovakia later than in main economic areas. The growth in exports is lagging behind the development in economies fueled by foreign demand. Saxo Bank expects 12.5 % jobless rate in Slovakia in
2010 and sees it at 13.05 % in 2011.

This estimate may be on the low end as there are 9 korean companies about to make big investments in the country.

Saxo Bank's verdict suggests that adoption of tougher fiscal measures will squeeze the estimated general government deficit that the bank forecasts to reach 5.15 % of GDP in 2010 in line with most other european countries. In 2011, the deficit should narrow to 4.95 % of GDP. However, the bank added that the fiscal policy is hardly predicable now a few months to the parliamentary elections due in June. The National Bank of Slovakia however is more optimistic. In its latest prediction the central bank expects Slovakia’s GDP to grow by 3.1 percent.

A tale of two cities: Bratislavans make most of proximity


Bratislava & Vienna:
When the barbed wire dividing Austria from Slovakia was torn down in 1989, thousands of Bratislavans descended on Vienna to see what they had been missing. Among them was Dusan Meszaros, then 19.

“I got in a car with a few friends. We had no idea where we were going,” he says. “It was overwhelming,”

Twenty years on, many of those original sightseers now own a piece of the dream. Slovaks have been scooping up housing on the Austrian side of the former Iron Curtain, and now make up a fifth of the population in border villages such as Kittsee and Wolfsthal.

Gerhard Schödinger, the mayor of Wolfsthal, is one of the biggest fans of the influx. In 2007, he received an award for his efforts to integrate Slovaks into the local Austrian population, including introducing Slovak lessons in schools.

“The people who are moving here are the same as us – educated, Catholic, from the same kind of culture,” Mr Schödinger said. “They don’t just come here at night to sleep – they come to live, to join our soccer teams, to play music in our bands, and to put their children in our schools.”

But this is not another eastern European cliché. Few Slovaks who live in Austria actually work there, nor did they come seeking opportunity.

They are refugees from high property prices around Bratislava, and continue to look to the Slovak capital for work.

“Most of the new flats we looked at in Bratislava were expensive, poorly situated such as by a motorway”

At the height of the property boom in Slovakia in 2007, building lots that fetched €50 ($75) a square metre in Austria were going for €200 a square metre near Bratislava. Now the difference is even larger.

Nor are Slovak white-collar workers smitten with Vienna. A motorway was finally built linking the two cities in 2007, and border controls were eliminated last year, reducing transit time for the 60 kilometre ride between the capitals to 30 minutes.

But traffic is thin at rush hour, and tends to consist of Slovaks racing between Austrian homes and jobs in Bratislava.

Slovak executives still enjoy better pay and career prospects at home. “There are lots of unskilled Slovak labourers such as taxi drivers and hotel personnel working in Vienna, but not a lot of executives,” says Gerard Koolen, head of Lugera & Makler, a human resources company.

He adds: “Young managers have better opportunities in Slovakia; they can earn more than in Vienna, and their career development is faster.”

Foreign investors in Slovakia began turning their companies over to local executives a decade ago, and today, the Slovakian branches of US and European multinationals such as Amslico and UPC are led by Slovak bosses.

The board of Tatra Banka, which is owned by Austria’s Raffeisen International, now only has one non-Slovak member, while the Austrian chief executive of Erste group’s Slovenska Sporitelna bank stepped down this year in favour of a Czech.

Mr Meszaros is one of the few who bucks the trend, working for Bank Austria, a subsidiary of Italy’s Unicredit, in Vienna as an equity research analyst for corporate bonds, a specialist job he could not find in Bratislava.

But he says he would have moved to live in Austria on its merits even had he found a job back home, and will probably remain there wherever his career takes him. “The commute between Bratislava and Vienna makes sense in either direction.”

World's 3rd Largest LCD Maker picks Slovakia as its manufacturing centre in EU

BRATISLAVA, Dec 2 (Reuters) - Taiwan's AU Optronics Corp (2409.TW), the world's No.3 LCD maker, will invest around 191 million euros ($287.9 million) in Slovakia to build an LCD assembly plant, a government source said on Wednesday.

The project, the biggest foreign direct investment project since the country joined the euro zone in January, is expected to create some 1,800 direct jobs.

The economy ministry said it would hold a press conference later in the day on an unspecified foreign investment project. ($1=.6635 Euro)


General information on the Slovak Republic

Geographical location: Central Europe
Area: 49 035 km2Europe - Slovakia
Population: 5 379 455
Borders:

  • Hungary
  • Poland
  • Austria
  • the Czech Republic
  • Ukraine

Religions:

  • Catholic Church - 68.9%
  • Evangelical Church - 6.9%
  • No faith - 13.0%
  • Others - 11.2%

Minority groups:

  • Slovak nationality - 85.5%
  • Hungarian - 9.7%
  • Roma - 1.7%
  • Czech - 0.8%
  • Others - 2.0%

Time zone: GMT + 1 hour
Currency: Euro (EUR)
Parliamentary system: republic
Official language: Slovak
Election system: proportional representation
Election term: 4 years
Membership:

  • OSN
  • OECD
  • WTO
  • Visegrad Group
  • NATO
  • EU

Administrative division of the Slovak Republic

The following are the self-governing regions, and their administrative centres

The following are the self-governing regions, and their administrative centres:

  • Bratislava region - Bratislava
  • Trnava Region - Trnava
  • Trencin Region - Trencin
  • Nitra Region - Nitra
  • Zilina Region - Zilina
  • Banska Bystrica Region - Banska Bystrica
  • Kosice Region - Kosice
  • Presov Region - Presov

The future

A superb lecture by George Soros in Budapest

http://www.ft.com/cms/668e074a-bf24-11de-a696-00144feab49a.html


The future...

Vaclav Havel becomes a Bratislava citizen

Václav Havel, the former president of Czechoslovakia, dissident and one of the key figures of the Velvet Revolution that toppled Communism in the former federation has become an honorary citizen of Bratislava. The Slovak capital granted him honorary citizenship on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the fall of the totalitarian regime for his fight for freedom, democracy and assisting in the process of Slovakia's integration into Europe.

The great statesman and philosopher/king Václav Havel said that he respects the award all the more after discovering the personalities who have received it. He has had a long and and enduring relationship with Bratislava, whose people he said he considers very amiable both while he was in office and after his retirement from active politics.

He characterised personality as uniqueness of the human soul and deeds, and as what differentiates one human being from his fellows. Another awardee was the first Austrian Ambassador to Slovakia, Maximilian Pammer. Havel and Pammer received their awards in person.

Havel will receive it on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the fall of communism in Czechoslovakia, which Slovaks and Czechs mark on November 17.

The resistance to the communist regime's excesses were very much felt in Bratislava as well as Prague. A mass demonstration took place on Hviezdoslav Square in downtown Bratislava and then moved to the Square of the Slovak National Uprising) SNP. Students presented various demands and asked the people to participate in the planned general strike for Monday, November 27. A separate demonstration demanding the release of the political prisoner and christian activist Ján Čarnogurský (the later Prime Minister of Slovakia) took place in front of the Palace of Justice. Alexander Dubček delivered an address at this demonstration – his first appearance during the Velvet Revolution. As a result, Čarnogurský was released on November 23.

"The diplomas will be handed at a ceremonial meeting of the Bratislava City Hall on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the fall of the totalitarian regime. Its preliminary date is November 18, 2009," the City Hall said in a statement.

Havel, a playwright and a leading dissident under the former communist regime, was the last Czechoslovak president (1989-92) and the first Czech president (1993-2003).

Even under the communist regime he was known as one of the most promitent thinkers and human rights fighters. Havel contributed to the fall of communism in 1989 to a great extent.

In the past, Havel was repeatedly nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize.

Three years ago, Havel was presented with an honorary doctor's degree in Bratislava on the occasion of his 70th birthday.

Last year, the Slovak premiere of Havel's latest play Leaving was staged in the Slovak National Theatre in Bratislava.

Slovak PM meets Vladimir Putin (Russian PM) about joint gas venture to link Austria to russian gas

Slovak PM meets Vladimir Putin (Russian PM) about joint gas venture to link Austria to russian gas. The Slovak side seems to want to incentivise Russia through a 3-party win-win.

What is being proposed is to link the Austrian market to the soviet era pipeline that ends in Bratislava. This pipeline only needs a few kilometers of extension to be linked to the austrian market and network.

Click on the map to see more detail:



Slovakia will gain by giving Russia a big reason not to cut supply to europe as it would inconvenience more european countries.

Below there is a video talking about the fledgling deal:







In related news: According to the European Union energy commisioner gas consumers won’t suffer if Ukraine starts another transit war with Russia this winter.

Kiev blocked transit pipelines from Russia last January in a payment row, leading to power cuts across the EU. But Energy Commissioner Andris Piebalgs says they've agreed ways to avoid Ukraine altogether.

AP: “Our gas storages are 100% full, we've increased all types of switching opportunities for countries which can't cover gas for a very long period. We also have emergency plans if they are needed. On the Russian side I believe there are also plans for increasing supply from other pipelines if there is a problem with one of them. During January there will be more gas flowing through the Yamal Europe pipeline. So it is important that both sides reunite and that the final consumer does not feel threatened at all.”

More background on the pipeline and it's significance (from wikipedia):

Druzhba pipeline
(Russian: нефтепровод «Дружба»; also had been referred as the Friendship Pipeline and the Comecon Pipeline) is the world's longest oil pipeline, it carries oil some 4,000 kilometres (2,500 mi) from southeast Russia to points in Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Czech Republic, and Germany.[1] The name "Druzhba" means "friendship", alluding to the fact that the pipeline was intended to supply oil to the energy-hungry western regions of the Soviet Union, to its "fraternal socialist allies" in the former Soviet bloc, and to western Europe. Today, it is the largest principal artery for the transportation of Russian (and Kazakh) oil across Europe.

History

On 18 December 1959, the 10th session of the Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (Comecon), held in Prague, adopted a decision and an agreement was signed on construction of a trunk crude oil pipeline from the USSR into Poland, Czechoslovakia, GDR and Hungary.[2] Each country was to supply all necessary construction materials, machinery and equipment. In 1962, first oil reached to Czechoslovakia, in September 1963 to Hungary, in November 1963 to Poland, and in December 1963 to GDR. The whole of the pipeline was put into operation in October 1964. The first oil pumped through the Druzhba pipeline originated from the oil fields in Tatarstan and Samara (Kuybyshev) Oblast. In 1970s the Druzhba pipeline system was further prolonged at the expense of parallel lines.[3]

Route

The pipeline begins from Almetyevsk in Tatarstan, southeastern Russia, where it collects oil from western Siberia, the Urals, and the Caspian Sea. It runs to Mozyr in southern Belarus, where it splits into a northern and southern branch. The northern branch crosses the remainder of Belarus across Poland to Schwedt in Germany.[2] It supplies refineries in Płock and in Schwedt. The northern branch is also connected by the Płock-Gdansk pipeline with the Naftoport terminal in Gdansk, which is used for oil re-exports.[4] In Schwedt the Druzhba pipeline is connected with the MVL pipeline to Rostock and Spergau.

The southern branch runs south through Ukraine. In Brody the Druzhba pipeline is connected with the Odessa-Brody pipeline, which is currently used to ship oil from the Druzhba pipeline to the Black Sea. In Uzhgorod the pipeline splits into lines to Slovakia (Druzhba-1 - original Druzhba route) and to Hungary (Druzhba-2). The line through Slovakia is divided once again near Bratislava: one branch leading in a northwest to Czech Republic and the other going southward to Hungary. The Druzhba-1 pipeline branches off toward Hungary at Ipeľ, crosses the Hungarian border at Dregelypalank and leads to Százhalombatta.[2] In Hungary, the Druzhba-1 pipeline supplies Duna refinery while Druzhba-2 supplies Duna and Tisza refineries.[5]

The Mažeikių refinery in Lithuania and Ventspils oil terminal in Latvia are connected to the main pipeline by the branch pipeline from Unecha junction in Bryansk Oblast. This branch has ceased operation in 2006 and is not likely to become operational in any time soon.

The part of Druzhba pipeline system, which runs via Belarus, is 2,910 kilometres (1,810 mi) long. The length of the pipeline in Ukraine is 1,490 kilometres (930 mi), in Poland in 670 kilometres (420 mi), in Hungary 130 kilometres (80 mi), in Lithuania 332 kilometres (206 mi), in Latvia 420 kilometres (261 mi), and in Slovakia and in the Czech Republic together around 400 kilometres (250 mi).[2][6]

Technical features

The Druzhba pipeline currently has a capacity of 1.2 to 1.4 million barrels per day. Work is currently underway to increase this in the section between Belarus and Poland. The pipe diameter of the pipeline varies from 420 millimetres (17 in) to 1,020 millimetres (40 in).[3] It uses 20 pumping stations.

Operators

The Russian part of the pipeline is operated by the oil company Transneft through its subsidiary OAO MN Druzhba. In Belarus the operator is Gomeltransneft Druzhba, in Ukraina UkrTransNafta, in Poland PERN company, in Slovakia Transpetrol, in the Czech Republic Mero and in Hungary MOL.[7]

Proposed extensions

[edit] Schwechat (Austria)–Bratislava Oil Pipeline

Schwechat–Bratislava two-way oil pipeline project was proposed in 2003. It would allow to supply the OMV owned Schwechat Refinery from the Druzhba pipeline.[7]

forecasts for the region and Slovakia

Comment on EBRD forecasts for the region and Slovakia in the Financial Times:


"The countries with fixed exchange rates, including Latvia, face difficulties because they must adjust their real exchange rates through domestic wages and prices. States that started the crisis in good shape and are internationally competitive, such as Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia, could see GDP growth of 2-5 per cent next year. But Hungary, with a difficult fiscal position, is forecast to remain in recession"

Meanwhile in the ever-confident anglo-sphere (again from the FT)

"After the shock came the arguments. No one expected the Office for National Statistics to say the economy shrank by 0.4 per cent in the third quarter; the survey data and early official data had been too strong.

Few were therefore minded on Friday to modify their entrenched positions about the UK economy, the policies needed to revive it or whether the figures contained any useful information. Stuck in the middle of these clashes, of course, was the ONS.

Its preliminary data on gross domestic product are an attempt to provide an early snapshot of economic performance. The downside is that its coverage is limited, with this first estimate based on only 40 per cent of the total hard data on output and nothing on spending or incomes.

George Osborne, the shadow chancellor, said: "This is deeply disappointing news. Britain is now in the deepest and longest recession in its modern history. Britain's economy is still shrinking a full six months after France and Germany started growing."

Meanwhile, economists agreed that the GDP figures made it more likely that the Bank of England would extend its efforts to create money and pump it into the economy in November by expanding the £175bn programme of asset purchases known as quantitative easing.

Yet the most vociferous arguments took place in the City, where analysts clashed over the importance of the figures.

Danny Gabay of Fathom Financial Consulting insisted the appropriate reaction was far greater caution about predicting recovery.

"The UK has some formidable headwinds, not least of which is the over-burdened consumer which is having to cope with a broken banking system, rising unemployment, and falling income growth," he said.

This view was described as "baloney" at Goldman Sachs, which put greater weight on more optimistic recent surveys of companies. Analysing the accuracy of the past decade's preliminary GDP figures, Kevin Daly, Goldman Sachs economist, concluded that they contained "no statistically useful information about growth" because they were so heavily revised, often years after the event.

10 to 11 September 1989

1: Sopron Piknik
1: Sopron Piknik

1989: East German refugee exodus – via Hungary to freedom


By Jan Krcmar sen.

On 19 August 1989, some 600 East Germans “picnickers”, participants in a celebration of good neighbourly relations on the Austrian-Hungarian border, originally meant for Austrians and Hungarians, pushed through a barbed wire topped wooden gate and made their way into the West and freedom. As it turned out, this was not a one-off “great escape” but the precursor to the greatest flood of East German refugees fleeing their “bastion of socialism on German soil” since 1961 when the Berlin Wall was built. Some three weeks later, the trickle of escapees from the Iron Curtain became a deluge of tens of thousands, who were able to cross legally from Hungary to Austria and eventually to West Germany. Although I missed the picnic I made sure that I would be able to witness and report what happened on the following 11 September.


1: Sopron Piknik


Silence and anticipation
There was an eerie silence and a sense of anticipation just before midnight at the Austrian border checkpoint in Klingenbach opposite the Hungarian town of Sopron a few hundred metres away. But the border crossing was not deserted, as one would expect at this time of night. On the contrary, there were rows of empty buses waiting for their passengers and stalls stacked with packages manned by Red Cross volunteers. The packages contained sandwiches, road maps of Austria, petrol coupons and some cash to help their recipients cross the country to what was then still West Germany. Hardly anybody spoke, and many checked their watches to see what would happen at the stroke of midnight.


4: vor der Botschaft
5: Reform-Kommunisten Miklos Nemeth


Thousands waiting for exodus
Following the August picnic episode, it was estimated that some 60,000 East Germans had made their way to Hungary, in itself one of the most popular holiday resorts for East Germans, whose holiday destinations were limited to the countries of the then Soviet dominated Eastern Bloc. Several thousand began besieging the West German embassy in Budapest in the hope that the West Germans would negotiate permission for them to travel from Hungary to West Germany. They had been encouraged by the fact that in the spring of 1989 Hungary had begun dismantling the security system on the border with Austria. This in itself put the Hungarian authorities, themselves of course the Communist allies of East Germany, into a quandary, as they had an agreement with the East Berlin government that they would not allow East Germans to cross the border to Austria without the relevant permits which, naturally, they did not have. Similar agreements existed with Hungary’s other Warsaw Pact allies. Under pressure from Bonn, the Hungarian government under reformist premier Miklos Nemeth agreed to temporarily lift the travel restriction on East Germans, but until the final decision was made the authorities began assembling the would-be emigrants mainly in state holiday camps, for the most part on the shores of Lake Balaton, which had been emptied with the start of the autumn school term.

Visiting camps on the southern tip of Lake Balaton
On Sunday, 10 September, I visited one of these camps near Keszthely on the southern tip of Lake Balaton. The camp was full with around one thousand people, but on that warm, sunny afternoon it had the appearance of any normal holiday camp with children running around the playground and adults lolling in deck chairs, playing cards or keeping their children amused. Despite this picture of normality, everybody had their transistor radios on and there was an air of tension and expectation, as it had been rumoured that a decision was in the offing allowing East Germans to leave for West Germany. And then it came.


6: Außenminister Gyuls Horn


Queues of cars on main road to Sopron
At six o’clock Hungarian Foreign Minister Gyula Horn announced that as of midnight Hungary would temporarily relax its border restrictions on East Germans and allow them to cross into Austria and then on to West Germany. Horn had hardly finished speaking when parents swept up their children, adults rushed to their cars, motorcycles and bicycles with their packed belongings, and within 15 minutes the camp was virtually empty except for a queue of cars at the gate waiting to get onto the road. By the time I got to my car and onto the road there was a column several kilometres long on the main road leading to the border town Sopron with more traffic coming from side roads and all heading in the same direction. There was hardly any traffic in the opposite direction and it was a simple task to overtake the very disciplined column of Trabants and Wartburgs crammed with people and their belongings, some also with tents or small boats in trailers and one car even with a small racing car on its trailer. I soon left the column behind me and passed through Sopron and on to the Hungarian border checkpoint, which apart from myself and the Hungarian border police was deserted, as was the road leading from there to the Austrian border.

There I was eagerly questioned as to what I had seen, how many people were on their way and if I had encountered any incidents. And then all we could all do was to wait, wait until midnight.

7: 20 Jahre Freiheit


Minutes after midnight: GDR exodus to Austria begins
Midnight struck, but the dark road leading into Hungary remained empty. Within perhaps two minutes, however, we saw the first cars flashing their headlamps and hooting with their horns and heard the cheering of the occupants. The Austrian border police, all smiles and words of welcome, did not bother to check documents but just marshalled the cars to lines by the Red Cross stalls, where everybody received their packages and directions on how to reach the main road leading to the West. As if from nowhere, large crowds of young people crossed the border on foot after having camped nearby waiting for their longed-for moment. One young man with tears in his eyes fell into the arms of an Austrian customs officer, who comforted him and slowly led him to one of the waiting buses.

From Klingenbach I drove north to the crossing at Nickelsdorf, where a similar scene was taking place, and later colleagues from other crossing points spoke of similar experiences. It was estimated that over 6,000 persons crossed into the West on 11 September, followed by almost 60,000 more.


8: Sopron Piknik Rückfahrt
 9: Sopron Piknik Parkplatz


Almost all go west, only few head back to GDR
But not every East German headed to the West. In a roadside café near the Hungarian-Slovak border crossing at Rajka, tourists were subjected to hour-long waits while the Hungarian and Czechoslovak border police carefully scrutinised every traveller entering or leaving the country. Here the road was virtually deserted and the café almost empty. At one table a young couple sat with their small child. When I asked them why they had not decided to join the stream of compatriots, they replied that it wasn’t an option for them. “We have just finished rebuilding our family house, which cost us all our savings, and besides we have no relatives in the West who would help us,” said the husband.

In the car park outside I met an athletic, short-cropped grey haired man who, when I asked him what he thought of the whole situation, proudly replied:
“I’m going home to the German Democratic Republic, which I helped rebuild and which I am proud of.” “Those running away are fascists,” he added with contempt.

The greatest goal: freedom
On the way home to Vienna I had a different experience. I was stopped by a lonely middle-aged man with just a shoulder bag, who said he had taken the train to Budapest and was now on his way. When I asked him where he was actually headed for, he just replied with a large grin: “In die Freiheit”, to freedom.

10: Sopron Piknik
11: Sopron Piknik
12: DDR-Flüchtlinge bei Budapest


13: Zug der Freiheit
Information:
Freedom train 1989-2009
A special train will commemorate the opening of the borders of Hungary and Austria to East German refugees and to freedom in the West on 11 September 1989. A few days later, on 1 October 1989, thousands of East Germans who had taken refuge in the West German embassy in Prague were able to leave Czechoslovakia for the West. Special trains took them from Prague railway station through East German territory to Hof in Bavaria. The East German leaders had given way to the growing international pressure and agreed to the transit. These trains became a pan-European symbol of the yearning for freedom of East German citizens. Those remaining in East Germany were growing increasingly discontented. The journey from Prague to Hof gave thousands of East Germans the opportunity to give vent to their dissatisfaction, and demonstrations were held at the railway stations on the way. Most of them were broken up by force by the East German authorities, but they nevertheless represented an important milestone in the Peaceful Revolution. Shortly afterwards, on 18 October 1989, Communist Party leader Erich Honecker was forced to resign as a result of public pressure. The entire East German government stepped down a few days later and the Berlin Wall fell on 9-10 November.

The historical 1989-2009 Freedom Train recalls the refugees in the embassy and the first demonstrations in East Germany. It will set off with five carriages from Prague to Hof via Dresden, Freiberg, Chemnitz and Plauen. Each of the carriages will contain exhibitions. Former refugees will give interviews and historians will shed light on the events. Young people of the time from all of the former Eastern Bloc states will talk about their own experiences. Together they will seek to reflect on the opening and reunification of Europe and the prospects for the future. Local festivities are planned at stations along the way.

The event is being organised by honorary members of the Verein Kultur Aktiv in Dresden.

Contact
Kultur Aktiv e.V.
Louisenstrasse 29
D-01099 Dresden
Germany



Further articles in our series “1989 - Fall of the Iron Curtain” by Jan Krcmar sen. and the wieninternational.at foreign correspondents
Opening of Hungary’s border in 1989: the end of “Goulash Communism”
Opening of Hungary’s border in 1989: a picnic changes Europe
The Fall of the Iron Curtain
Bulgaria 1989: from environmental protests to the Turkish exodus and Central Committee putsch
1989: fateful year for Poland and Europe:
Árpád Bella, the man who refused to obey the order to shoot:
(Jan Krcmar sen.)
Fotos © Tamas Lobenwein/Archiv Stiftung Paneuropäisches Picknick 1989, Sopron; sopronipiknik.hu; bpd.de; chronik-der-mauer.de; ard-aktuell.de

Vienna and Bratislava gradually growing together a common interregional labour market

The interregional employment initiative (_Überregionale Beschäftigungsinitiative_, ÜBI) of the cities of Vienna and Bratislava gives young people the exciting opportunity to acquire work experience abroad. Until 13 September the exchange programme enables apprentices in the hotel industry to get a glimpse of everyday working life at four and five-star hotels in a foreign country.

With Vienna and Bratislava gradually growing together a common interregional labour market in the Centrope region is becoming increasingly important as well.

“We want to develop and implement joint strategies and concepts in order to improve qualifications and raise employment in the Vienna-Bratislava region,” underlines Vienna’s Renate Brauner.


3: WAFF

Acquiring professional experience abroad
The apprentice exchange between Vienna and Bratislava is part of this initiative. Young people currently serving their apprenticeship can get hands-on experience of working conditions in the partner countries. 10 young apprentices have the opportunity to do a three-week internship at a hotel in a partner city. “This initiative pus a strong focus on working together,” explains Renate Brauner. “When young people experience for themselves what it is like to work in an enterprise in the respective partner city they grasp and feel the common nature of the region on a very personal, direct level.”


4: Falkensteiner Hotel
5: Crowne Plaza
Setting off for an internship abroad
Vice-Mayor Renate Brauner will see off the young apprentices from Vienna who will leave for their internships on a Twin City Liner. They are using this opportunity primarily because they want to get to know the culture and working world of their host country, improve their foreign language skills and make many marvellous memories. And who knows, maybe one or the other will like it so much that they return to their internship placement in order to work abroad after completing their apprenticeship


6: Lehrlinge und Renate Brauner

Slovakia's Surprising Financial Strength

IMPORTANT BITS FROM

Article from DER SPIEGEL (a serious german magazine a bit like the economist) about Bratislava and Slovakia:

By Jack Ewing

Thanks to its fiscal prudence, Slovakia's economy is relatively healthy. But troubled neighbors could keep foreign investors from rewarding it.

Jan Rollo, CEO of Slovenska Sporitelna, Slovakia's largest bank, has a problem you don't encounter too much these days. While banks worldwide struggle to raise capital, Slovenksa Sporitelna, a unit of Vienna-based Erste Group, has more money in deposits than it does in outstanding loans. "We're long on deposits," Rollo says with a wry smile in his eighth-floor office on the outskirts of Bratislava.

Slovakia's fiscal discipline has helped the country weather the economic storm.
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REUTERS

Slovakia's fiscal discipline has helped the country weather the economic storm.

The bank's headquarters overlook a small lake where a handful of bathers could be seen sunning themselves on a balmy day recently. The placid scene was not misleading. In fact, Slovakia is an island of relative calm in a troubled region. Growth has fallen sharply in line with all of Europe, but the country, as well as neighboring Poland and the Czech Republic, are in relatively good shape from a financial point of view.

Slovakia's government balance sheet, for example, is healthy compared to its European neighbors. The public budget deficit equals 28 percent of gross domestic product, less than half of Germany's debt ratio and a pittance compared with Italy's, where the national debt exceeds a year's total economic output. Unlike Hungarians or Romanians, the Slovaks did not take out large numbers of mortgages and loans denominated in Swiss francs or other foreign currencies, which then became ruinously expensive to repay when their domestic currencies plunged. Slovakia's current account deficit was about 6 percent in 2008, compared with nearly 25 percent in Latvia.

Slovakia's fiscal prudence allowed it to join the euro common currency on Jan. 1, only the second Central European country after Slovenia to qualify. "A systemic banking crisis is very unlikely," says François Lecavalier, regional director in Bratislava for the European Bank for Reconstruction & Development, which underwrites highway construction and other projects in the country.

Already, the Slovakian economy has suffered from the global slump in car sales. The country is the world's largest per capita producer of cars, with big factories operated by Volkswagen, Kia Motors, and PSA Peugeot Citroën. As those companies trimmed production, the economy contracted at an annual rate of 5.4 percent in the first quarter after growing 2.5 percent in the previous quarter.(howeve rhtis is now changing Volkswagen and Kia are increasing production of smaller cars)

Rollo and other local businesspeople say they're confident Slovakia will bounce back faster than its neighbors because the economy is fundamentally sound. And there could even be a silver lining to the turmoil: As foreign investment sags, the current left-wing government will face pressure to step up reforms such as upgrading the nation's universities, which businesspeople complain do not teach young people the right skills.

In addition, says Czech-born Rollo, the adoption of the euro is forcing local companies to become more competitive. As currencies of neighboring countries have plunged, Slovakia has become more expensive than Hungary or the Czech Republic for foreign investors. But that could be healthy in the long run. "The euro pushed local producers to be more efficient," Rollo says.

Ewing is BusinessWeek's European regional editor.

ECONOMY: The prognosis is for positive growth this winter

The Slovak economy is expected to revive as soon this winter when National Bank of Slovakia expects growth of 2.4 percent for the whole of 2010, with a further boost of 4.1 percent in 2011.

According to Finance Minister Ján Počiatek, the ministry tried to make as conservative a prognosis as possible. The real development of the country's economy could still turn out to be better than expected by the ministry at the moment. The finance ministry painted an alternative scenario and it expects a revival of the economy next year, when it should grow by 1.1 percent. Subsequently, the growth should accelerate and reach 3.4 percent in 2011 and 4.8 percent in 2012, the finance ministry predicts.

In these times of negative GDP numbers that are becoming the norm this is indeed welcome news.


The spending power of Slovak citizens rises by 20%

The spending power of Slovak citizens rose by 20 percent for the whole of 2008,far more than in its three Visegrad. Four neighbours, according to the GfK research company. The figure in euros was 6,102 euros per person, or 184,000 Slovak crowns, including state benefits and pensions. The figures place Slovakia in 26th position out of all 41 European states, the agency said. Poland saw an increase in its citizens’ spending power of 13 percent, the Czech Republic 12 percent, and Hungary just two percent.

The Czech Republic ranked 23rd and Slovenia 21st. Lichtenstein
occupied first place, and Luxembourg and Switzerland second and third, with Moldova at the bottom of the ladder.

This confirms the rise of Slovakia to the status of an average EU country in terms of wealth and prosperity.

Euro zone economic contraction slows accrding to euronews


There’s been a little bit of good news on the euro zone economy.

The latest data suggests a slight easing in the region’s economic contraction in March. That was not expected by financial analysts.

The Flash Euro zone Purchasing Managers Index shows activity in the services and manufacturing sectors still falling but at a slower rate.

Even so, companies coping with sinking demand and the reluctance of banks to lend continued to slash jobs to cut their costs.

Slovak Finance minister is awarded ‘Best Finance Minister in Europe for 2008’

THE BRITISH monthly banking and finance periodical The Banker, part of the Financial Times Group, has awarded Finance Minister Jan Pociatek the prestigious title ‘Best Finance Minister in Europe for 2008’.




In its latest issue, the magazine mentioned Pociatek’s work in preparing the country for the adoption of the euro and underlined his efforts to maintain the longterm sustainability of Slovakia’s public finances.

Previous Slovak finance ministers to be awarded by an international publication are Brigita Schmognerova in 2000 and Ivan Miklos in 2004, who were both named ‘Finance Minister of the Year’ by Euromoney magazine.

Bratislava new year celebrations coming up and other news


Just letting you know that there is going to be a dual celebration of euro adoption/new year

In amongst and despite worldwide financial chaos, Slovakia is receiving a Korean investment for a new KIA/Hyundai factory in Zilina that will produce engines and of course create new jobs. Sony's plans to expand production of flat panel TVs in Nitra have been postponed but not cancelled. It seems that many companies are cutting elsewhere and expanding or keeping production in Slovakia.

Volkswagen is also investing further apparently...

Despite all that the economic outlook in the US and some european countries is grim.

The central banker of Slovakia is keeping a serious handle on the developing situation in other countries. The local slovak economy is doing ok still growth is projected around 4% GDP growth next year, with more in Bratislava's center where I live.. I am guessing, The proximity and relative stability of Vienna is creating a microclimate of stability so far.

Finally I think I would like to join this journalist below before that titanic moron leaves the white house.. I think a serious slapping of GW Bush should be allowed to happen on public television. His economic crimes are even worse than the war ones and they will haunt us for generations of paying back debt..

anyway... Enjoy...


"Economic growth was slightly slower than in previous quarters, which is in line with NBS estimates and is related to the basic effect of the launch of production of motor vehicles last year. Despite this, the economy is still producing new jobs, as reflected by the growth of the employment rate," National Bank of Slovakia governor Ivan Šramko said.

There is no doubt that the economic slowdown in slovakia is taking place. Living in Bratislava i can't say we feel it yet. People are consuming and the well run economy is still performing closing 2008 with 7.1 GDP growth.

It is remarkably difficult to make a prediction for the new year of 2009 but these is my information/hunch.
Slovakia will weaken mostly in the regions, hit by the lower export volumes from factories whose export markets are slow. This has affected jobs in Nitra region.

Generally i make very pessimistic assumptions and prefer to be pleasantly surprised, so i predict GDP between 2-4% for slovakia in 2009, this is below estimates, but it will generally keep the unemployment steady and the people reasonably prosperous.

Bratislava is likely to do better than this, and so far one would have to be hunting high and low to find evidence of a slowdown.
It seems that Slovakia will not have a recession at all, unless we are talking about end of world scenarios...

Slovakia is likely to remain the fastest growing economy in the EU and an interesting country where it enjoys the safe haven of the EURO, and the competitive position of an emerging market at the same time.

In such daunting times its a blessing to live in such a relatively stable place, however one has to spare a thought for the UK and iceland that have been savaged by this crisis..